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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

icon for Prochaine élection présidentielle française
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,667,588 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,667,588 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$902,041 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$708,485 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$561,064 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$529,546 Vol.

6%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,032,033 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,160,183 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,211,471 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,247,313 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,369,453 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$843,728 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,312,309 Vol.

2%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$907,070 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,487,614 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,379,686 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,274,658 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,116,456 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$768,593 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,769,873 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,248,413 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,612,327 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,872,459 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,670,350 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,590,695 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,164,908 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,183,720 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,124,634 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,854,236 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,608,127 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,400,574 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

$2,733,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

$3,103,025 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,349,237 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,556,513 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,436,100 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,836,286 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2027 French presidential race reflect a fragmented field ahead of the April vote under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella maintains a narrow edge on the strength of National Rally polling in the first round, while Édouard Philippe’s positioning as the leading center-right option draws support from voters seeking a viable runoff challenger. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal ruling in July over her embezzlement conviction creates ongoing uncertainty about her eligibility and potential impact on National Rally strategy. Recent developments, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s formal candidacy announcement and multiple center and left contenders splitting the anti-RN vote, sustain the competitive dynamics. Scheduled municipal outcomes and any shifts in coalition alignments could further influence trader assessments before the field narrows.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$73,667,588
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2027 French presidential race reflect a fragmented field ahead of the April vote under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella maintains a narrow edge on the strength of National Rally polling in the first round, while Édouard Philippe’s positioning as the leading center-right option draws support from voters seeking a viable runoff challenger. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal ruling in July over her embezzlement conviction creates ongoing uncertainty about her eligibility and potential impact on National Rally strategy. Recent developments, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s formal candidacy announcement and multiple center and left contenders splitting the anti-RN vote, sustain the competitive dynamics. Scheduled municipal outcomes and any shifts in coalition alignments could further influence trader assessments before the field narrows.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$73,667,588
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 36 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jordan Bardella » à 23%, suivi de « Édouard Philippe » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 23¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » a généré $73.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochaine élection présidentielle française », parcourez les 36 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est « Jordan Bardella » à 23%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Édouard Philippe » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.