Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with 63 percent in a primary against two challengers and enters the November general election as the longtime incumbent in a Rochester-area district that has consistently leaned Democratic by double digits. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general-election margin and a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces the structural barriers of the district’s partisan baseline and limited visibility in a low-profile contest. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Morelle aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected national shift, late scandal, or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-25
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-25
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Vol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with 63 percent in a primary against two challengers and enters the November general election as the longtime incumbent in a Rochester-area district that has consistently leaned Democratic by double digits. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general-election margin and a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces the structural barriers of the district’s partisan baseline and limited visibility in a low-profile contest. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Morelle aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected national shift, late scandal, or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,113Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with 63 percent in a primary against two challengers and enters the November general election as the longtime incumbent in a Rochester-area district that has consistently leaned Democratic by double digits. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general-election margin and a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces the structural barriers of the district’s partisan baseline and limited visibility in a low-profile contest. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Morelle aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected national shift, late scandal, or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,113Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Joseph Morelle secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with 63 percent in a primary against two challengers and enters the November general election as the longtime incumbent in a Rochester-area district that has consistently leaned Democratic by double digits. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Morelle’s prior 60.8 percent general-election margin and a substantial fundraising edge. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator, faces the structural barriers of the district’s partisan baseline and limited visibility in a low-profile contest. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Morelle aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected national shift, late scandal, or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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