Vladimir Putin’s entrenched position, secured by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and his 2024 reelection, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus that he will remain Russia’s president through June 30. Recent developments, including his May 9 Victory Day address signaling possible progress in Ukraine talks and continued public focus on nuclear modernization, show no erosion of authority or elite challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported earlier in May reflect standard precautions rather than imminent threats. While near-certain odds reflect the absence of verifiable triggers for removal, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a sudden health crisis, elite-led coup amid battlefield setbacks, or rapid diplomatic reversal forcing leadership change before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$2,301,964 Vol.
$2,301,964 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$2,301,964 Vol.
$2,301,964 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin’s entrenched position, secured by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and his 2024 reelection, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus that he will remain Russia’s president through June 30. Recent developments, including his May 9 Victory Day address signaling possible progress in Ukraine talks and continued public focus on nuclear modernization, show no erosion of authority or elite challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported earlier in May reflect standard precautions rather than imminent threats. While near-certain odds reflect the absence of verifiable triggers for removal, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a sudden health crisis, elite-led coup amid battlefield setbacks, or rapid diplomatic reversal forcing leadership change before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,301,964Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin’s entrenched position, secured by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and his 2024 reelection, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus that he will remain Russia’s president through June 30. Recent developments, including his May 9 Victory Day address signaling possible progress in Ukraine talks and continued public focus on nuclear modernization, show no erosion of authority or elite challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported earlier in May reflect standard precautions rather than imminent threats. While near-certain odds reflect the absence of verifiable triggers for removal, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a sudden health crisis, elite-led coup amid battlefield setbacks, or rapid diplomatic reversal forcing leadership change before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,302,003Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin’s entrenched position, secured by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and his 2024 reelection, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus that he will remain Russia’s president through June 30. Recent developments, including his May 9 Victory Day address signaling possible progress in Ukraine talks and continued public focus on nuclear modernization, show no erosion of authority or elite challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported earlier in May reflect standard precautions rather than imminent threats. While near-certain odds reflect the absence of verifiable triggers for removal, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a sudden health crisis, elite-led coup amid battlefield setbacks, or rapid diplomatic reversal forcing leadership change before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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