Traders see a wide-open contest for third-best AI agent lab by late September because recent July 2026 releases from multiple labs produced tightly clustered agentic benchmark results with no durable leader beyond the top two. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family currently trade places atop SWE-bench Verified, Terminal-Bench, and GAIA evaluations, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Google’s Gemini 3.6, Alibaba’s Qwen, and DeepSeek variants sit immediately behind on tool-use and multi-step reasoning tasks. Frequent model drops, shifting leaderboards, and the absence of a decisive September catalyst keep implied probabilities near 50 percent across more than twenty labs. Traders are watching any new agent SDK launches or benchmark refreshes that could reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTroisième meilleur laboratoire d'agents IA fin septembre ?
Troisième meilleur laboratoire d'agents IA fin septembre ?
Z.ai 48%
OpenAI 45%
Moonshot 45%
Anthropic 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
48%
OpenAI
45%
Moonshot
45%
Anthropic
43%
SpaceXAI
26%
Meta
26%
Alibaba
26%
26%
DeepSeek
26%
Xiaomi
26%
MiniMax
26%
Nvidia
26%
ByteDance
26%
Baidu
26%
Amazon
26%
Mistral
26%
Meituan
26%
Microsoft
26%
Z.ai 48%
OpenAI 45%
Moonshot 45%
Anthropic 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
48%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
45%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
45%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
43%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
26%
Meta
$0 Vol.
26%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
26%
$0 Vol.
26%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
26%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
26%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
26%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
26%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
26%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
26%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
26%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
26%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
26%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a wide-open contest for third-best AI agent lab by late September because recent July 2026 releases from multiple labs produced tightly clustered agentic benchmark results with no durable leader beyond the top two. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family currently trade places atop SWE-bench Verified, Terminal-Bench, and GAIA evaluations, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Google’s Gemini 3.6, Alibaba’s Qwen, and DeepSeek variants sit immediately behind on tool-use and multi-step reasoning tasks. Frequent model drops, shifting leaderboards, and the absence of a decisive September catalyst keep implied probabilities near 50 percent across more than twenty labs. Traders are watching any new agent SDK launches or benchmark refreshes that could reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a wide-open contest for third-best AI agent lab by late September because recent July 2026 releases from multiple labs produced tightly clustered agentic benchmark results with no durable leader beyond the top two. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family currently trade places atop SWE-bench Verified, Terminal-Bench, and GAIA evaluations, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Google’s Gemini 3.6, Alibaba’s Qwen, and DeepSeek variants sit immediately behind on tool-use and multi-step reasoning tasks. Frequent model drops, shifting leaderboards, and the absence of a decisive September catalyst keep implied probabilities near 50 percent across more than twenty labs. Traders are watching any new agent SDK launches or benchmark refreshes that could reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a wide-open contest for third-best AI agent lab by late September because recent July 2026 releases from multiple labs produced tightly clustered agentic benchmark results with no durable leader beyond the top two. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family currently trade places atop SWE-bench Verified, Terminal-Bench, and GAIA evaluations, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Google’s Gemini 3.6, Alibaba’s Qwen, and DeepSeek variants sit immediately behind on tool-use and multi-step reasoning tasks. Frequent model drops, shifting leaderboards, and the absence of a decisive September catalyst keep implied probabilities near 50 percent across more than twenty labs. Traders are watching any new agent SDK launches or benchmark refreshes that could reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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