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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

76% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
76% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. The State Department’s late-April announcement of limited-edition commemorative passports featuring President Trump’s portrait on an interior page, alongside Declaration of Independence text and his gold signature, has driven the current trader consensus. These designs form part of the administration’s America250 initiative marking the nation’s 250th anniversary and are slated for rollout this summer, primarily through the Washington Passport Agency for in-person renewals. The confirmed plans, including released mockups and statements from department officials, establish a clear timeline for issuance by July without additional fees or changes to security features. While quantities remain restricted and standard designs stay available elsewhere, the official preparation and executive direction behind the project align with the elevated probability reflected in market pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,980
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. The State Department’s late-April announcement of limited-edition commemorative passports featuring President Trump’s portrait on an interior page, alongside Declaration of Independence text and his gold signature, has driven the current trader consensus. These designs form part of the administration’s America250 initiative marking the nation’s 250th anniversary and are slated for rollout this summer, primarily through the Washington Passport Agency for in-person renewals. The confirmed plans, including released mockups and statements from department officials, establish a clear timeline for issuance by July without additional fees or changes to security features. While quantities remain restricted and standard designs stay available elsewhere, the official preparation and executive direction behind the project align with the elevated probability reflected in market pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,980
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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Questions fréquentes

« U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 76% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 76¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 76% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 28, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? » est de 76% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 76% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.