The crowded field of mayoral candidates in Vancouver’s October 17, 2026 civic election continues to fragment support for challengers to incumbent Ken Sim, keeping trader consensus tight between Kareem Allam at 41.5 percent and Sim at 33.5 percent. Allam, Sim’s former chief of staff now leading the new Vancouver Liberals party, has drawn backing from voters seeking change without a unified progressive alternative, as parties including the Greens, OneCity, and COPE have fielded separate nominees such as Pete Fry, William Azaroff, and Stephanie Allen. This vote-splitting dynamic, combined with Sim’s record on property taxes and council majority, sustains uncertainty ahead of the nomination period and fall campaign. Recent candidate announcements and slate formations underscore how endorsements or withdrawals could shift probabilities in the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKareem Allam 42%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.4%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$67,575 Vol.
$67,575 Vol.

Kareem Allam
42%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
5%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Colleen Hardwick
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Kareem Allam 42%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.4%
William Azaroff 5.2%
$67,575 Vol.
$67,575 Vol.

Kareem Allam
42%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
5%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Colleen Hardwick
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of mayoral candidates in Vancouver’s October 17, 2026 civic election continues to fragment support for challengers to incumbent Ken Sim, keeping trader consensus tight between Kareem Allam at 41.5 percent and Sim at 33.5 percent. Allam, Sim’s former chief of staff now leading the new Vancouver Liberals party, has drawn backing from voters seeking change without a unified progressive alternative, as parties including the Greens, OneCity, and COPE have fielded separate nominees such as Pete Fry, William Azaroff, and Stephanie Allen. This vote-splitting dynamic, combined with Sim’s record on property taxes and council majority, sustains uncertainty ahead of the nomination period and fall campaign. Recent candidate announcements and slate formations underscore how endorsements or withdrawals could shift probabilities in the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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