Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$11,931 Vol.

Kyle Ursey
Non

David Womack
Non

Michael Baumgartner
Oui

Ann Marie Danimus
Non

Andrew Bartleson
Non

Carmela Conroy
Oui

Kevin Fagan
Non

Matthew Hayes
Non

Bajun Mavalwalla
Non

Nate Powell
Non
$11,931 Vol.

Kyle Ursey
Non

David Womack
Non

Michael Baumgartner
Oui

Ann Marie Danimus
Non

Andrew Bartleson
Non

Carmela Conroy
Oui

Kevin Fagan
Non

Matthew Hayes
Non

Bajun Mavalwalla
Non

Nate Powell
Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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