No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of early August 2026, leaving the “Other” category as the leading outcome at 50% per trader consensus. Potential contenders including governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom, along with Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna, have signaled interest through public comments, book tours, and visits to early primary states, while the Democratic National Committee advanced its proposed 2028 calendar with South Carolina first. These positioning efforts, absent any declarations, explain why Beshear leads named options at 28.5% followed by Newsom at 19.9%, reflecting market views on timing advantages for certain governors amid ongoing party calendar and primary dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAndy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 13%
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
14%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 13%
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
14%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...No Democratic candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of early August 2026, leaving the “Other” category as the leading outcome at 50% per trader consensus. Potential contenders including governors Andy Beshear and Gavin Newsom, along with Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna, have signaled interest through public comments, book tours, and visits to early primary states, while the Democratic National Committee advanced its proposed 2028 calendar with South Carolina first. These positioning efforts, absent any declarations, explain why Beshear leads named options at 28.5% followed by Newsom at 19.9%, reflecting market views on timing advantages for certain governors amid ongoing party calendar and primary dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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