Recent upward revisions in analyst forecasts have anchored trader consensus around the 30% range for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, with the median central bank survey estimate now at 30.5% following higher-than-expected monthly prints of 3.4% in March and a year-over-year rate near 32.4% in April. Persistent price pressures in regulated sectors and elevated oil costs have tempered expectations for a sharper disinflation path from 2025 levels, while fiscal balance and monetary tightening continue to support a decline toward the lowest annual rate in nine years. With implied probabilities closely split between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, market pricing reflects uncertainty over the pace of moderation amid upcoming data releases and external shocks that could shift the trajectory before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअर्जेंटीना वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 20.3%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.9%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
24%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
16%
40-44.9%
20%
45%+
7%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 20.3%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.9%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
24%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
16%
40-44.9%
20%
45%+
7%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions in analyst forecasts have anchored trader consensus around the 30% range for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation, with the median central bank survey estimate now at 30.5% following higher-than-expected monthly prints of 3.4% in March and a year-over-year rate near 32.4% in April. Persistent price pressures in regulated sectors and elevated oil costs have tempered expectations for a sharper disinflation path from 2025 levels, while fiscal balance and monetary tightening continue to support a decline toward the lowest annual rate in nine years. With implied probabilities closely split between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, market pricing reflects uncertainty over the pace of moderation amid upcoming data releases and external shocks that could shift the trajectory before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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