Persistent Houthi attacks and a July 2026 blockade on select vessels have driven sharp declines in Bab el-Mandeb transits, with daily averages recently near 32 ships—down more than 50% from pre-blockade levels and well below historical norms. Fresh incidents, including the August 11 missile strike that killed six crew members, have reinforced risk aversion among shippers, elevating insurance costs and favoring Cape of Good Hope reroutes. These developments underpin the market’s emphasis on sub-30 outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on sustained volume compression through month-end amid unresolved regional tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअगस्त के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
अगस्त के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
<25 44.8%
25-29 27%
30-34 21%
35-39 5%
$15,134 वॉल्यूम
$15,134 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<25
45%
25-29
27%
30-34
21%
35-39
5%
40+
2%
<25 44.8%
25-29 27%
30-34 21%
35-39 5%
$15,134 वॉल्यूम
$15,134 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<25
$2,960 वॉल्यूम
45%
25-29
$3,518 वॉल्यूम
27%
30-34
$3,754 वॉल्यूम
21%
35-39
$1,163 वॉल्यूम
5%
40+
$3,738 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Persistent Houthi attacks and a July 2026 blockade on select vessels have driven sharp declines in Bab el-Mandeb transits, with daily averages recently near 32 ships—down more than 50% from pre-blockade levels and well below historical norms. Fresh incidents, including the August 11 missile strike that killed six crew members, have reinforced risk aversion among shippers, elevating insurance costs and favoring Cape of Good Hope reroutes. These developments underpin the market’s emphasis on sub-30 outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on sustained volume compression through month-end amid unresolved regional tensions.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,134समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Persistent Houthi attacks and a July 2026 blockade on select vessels have driven sharp declines in Bab el-Mandeb transits, with daily averages recently near 32 ships—down more than 50% from pre-blockade levels and well below historical norms. Fresh incidents, including the August 11 missile strike that killed six crew members, have reinforced risk aversion among shippers, elevating insurance costs and favoring Cape of Good Hope reroutes. These developments underpin the market’s emphasis on sub-30 outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on sustained volume compression through month-end amid unresolved regional tensions.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
वॉल्यूम
$15,134समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 2:13 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Houthi attacks and a July 2026 blockade on select vessels have driven sharp declines in Bab el-Mandeb transits, with daily averages recently near 32 ships—down more than 50% from pre-blockade levels and well below historical norms. Fresh incidents, including the August 11 missile strike that killed six crew members, have reinforced risk aversion among shippers, elevating insurance costs and favoring Cape of Good Hope reroutes. These developments underpin the market’s emphasis on sub-30 outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on sustained volume compression through month-end amid unresolved regional tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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