Recent July 2026 Core CPI data printed at 0.2% MoM—matching consensus and rebounding from June’s flat reading—combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting a similar 0.20% outcome for August, anchor trader positioning around the modal 0.2% bucket at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent shelter and services pressures offset easing energy and goods components, while the 2.5% annual core rate remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, sustaining caution. Labor-market softening and upcoming September FOMC deliberations add downside risks, yet sticky underlying trends limit support for sub-0.1% prints. The August release, scheduled for September 11, will test whether the recent disinflation path holds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया0.2% 38%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
≤0.0%
15%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
38%
0.3%
20%
0.4%
6%
0.5%
6%
0.6%+
6%
0.2% 38%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
≤0.0%
15%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
38%
0.3%
20%
0.4%
6%
0.5%
6%
0.6%+
6%
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 Core CPI data printed at 0.2% MoM—matching consensus and rebounding from June’s flat reading—combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting a similar 0.20% outcome for August, anchor trader positioning around the modal 0.2% bucket at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent shelter and services pressures offset easing energy and goods components, while the 2.5% annual core rate remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, sustaining caution. Labor-market softening and upcoming September FOMC deliberations add downside risks, yet sticky underlying trends limit support for sub-0.1% prints. The August release, scheduled for September 11, will test whether the recent disinflation path holds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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