Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में ECB की दरों में बढ़ोतरी?
2026 में ECB की दरों में बढ़ोतरी?
हाँ
$114,365 वॉल्यूम
$114,365 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$114,365 वॉल्यूम
$114,365 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$114,365समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$114,365समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Inflation pressures from elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions have shifted expectations toward ECB tightening in 2026, underpinning the 92% implied probability for at least one rate hike. April euro-area inflation reached 3%, exceeding the 2% target and prompting revised staff projections for 2026 headline inflation around 2.6-2.7%. The Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting but signaled data-dependent tightening as a live option, with officials such as Isabel Schnabel highlighting upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth at 0.1% adds stagflation concerns, yet persistent price pressures outweigh growth worries. Markets now price in possible 25-basis-point increases starting in June, reversing earlier cut forecasts from institutions like Morgan Stanley. The June 11 decision and subsequent energy price trajectory remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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