Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a softer jobs report, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the December FOMC meeting, with market-implied odds at 67.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid inflation remaining above the 2% target and a resilient economy, though recent cooling in price pressures and moderating labor demand have reduced the odds of a 25 basis point hike to 25.5%. Analysts note that futures markets embed gradual policy firming later in the year, while upcoming releases including August CPI and the September FOMC decision could shift the rate path consensus. Persistent supply-side factors continue to support the current restrictive stance over near-term easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 68%
25 bps increase 26%
25 bps decrease 7.4%
50+ bps decrease 1.3%
$156,607 वॉल्यूम
$156,607 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
68%
25 bps increase
26%
50+ bps increase
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 68%
25 bps increase 26%
25 bps decrease 7.4%
50+ bps decrease 1.3%
$156,607 वॉल्यूम
$156,607 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$28,210 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 bps decrease
$40,668 वॉल्यूम
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$36,759 वॉल्यूम
68%
25 bps increase
$28,036 वॉल्यूम
26%
50+ bps increase
$22,934 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a softer jobs report, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the December FOMC meeting, with market-implied odds at 67.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid inflation remaining above the 2% target and a resilient economy, though recent cooling in price pressures and moderating labor demand have reduced the odds of a 25 basis point hike to 25.5%. Analysts note that futures markets embed gradual policy firming later in the year, while upcoming releases including August CPI and the September FOMC decision could shift the rate path consensus. Persistent supply-side factors continue to support the current restrictive stance over near-term easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$156,607समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a softer jobs report, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the December FOMC meeting, with market-implied odds at 67.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid inflation remaining above the 2% target and a resilient economy, though recent cooling in price pressures and moderating labor demand have reduced the odds of a 25 basis point hike to 25.5%. Analysts note that futures markets embed gradual policy firming later in the year, while upcoming releases including August CPI and the September FOMC decision could shift the rate path consensus. Persistent supply-side factors continue to support the current restrictive stance over near-term easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$156,607समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and core at 2.5%, alongside a softer jobs report, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the December FOMC meeting, with market-implied odds at 67.5%. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026 amid inflation remaining above the 2% target and a resilient economy, though recent cooling in price pressures and moderating labor demand have reduced the odds of a 25 basis point hike to 25.5%. Analysts note that futures markets embed gradual policy firming later in the year, while upcoming releases including August CPI and the September FOMC decision could shift the rate path consensus. Persistent supply-side factors continue to support the current restrictive stance over near-term easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न