Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a Beijing daily maximum near 27–28°C on May 18 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C at 38.5% and 28°C at 19.5%, with 26°C close behind at 23.5%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction could shift the exact peak by one degree, creating the observed spread in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology for Beijing places typical maxima between 24°C and 30°C, providing context for why outcomes outside 25–29°C carry sharply lower probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 33%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 14%
नया
$39,207 वॉल्यूम
नया
$39,207 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
24%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 14%
नया
$39,207 वॉल्यूम
नया
$39,207 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
22°C or below
$11,285 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$4,881 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$3,974 वॉल्यूम
3%
25°C
$2,713 वॉल्यूम
14%
26°C
$2,703 वॉल्यूम
23%
27°C
$1,903 वॉल्यूम
33%
28°C
$1,637 वॉल्यूम
24%
29°C
$1,538 वॉल्यूम
5%
30°C
$3,500 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$2,810 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,263 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a Beijing daily maximum near 27–28°C on May 18 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C at 38.5% and 28°C at 19.5%, with 26°C close behind at 23.5%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction could shift the exact peak by one degree, creating the observed spread in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology for Beijing places typical maxima between 24°C and 30°C, providing context for why outcomes outside 25–29°C carry sharply lower probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,207समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a Beijing daily maximum near 27–28°C on May 18 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C at 38.5% and 28°C at 19.5%, with 26°C close behind at 23.5%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction could shift the exact peak by one degree, creating the observed spread in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology for Beijing places typical maxima between 24°C and 30°C, providing context for why outcomes outside 25–29°C carry sharply lower probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$39,207समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a Beijing daily maximum near 27–28°C on May 18 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27°C at 38.5% and 28°C at 19.5%, with 26°C close behind at 23.5%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind direction could shift the exact peak by one degree, creating the observed spread in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology for Beijing places typical maxima between 24°C and 30°C, providing context for why outcomes outside 25–29°C carry sharply lower probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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