National Weather Service short-range model consensus currently points to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow transporting warmer Gulf air ahead of an advancing warm front. This setup places temperatures several degrees above the May 18 climatological normal of 71°F, supporting the market’s 70.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and a slight severe-weather risk from the Storm Prediction Center that could further enhance afternoon heating. With resolution less than 24 hours away, traders are weighting the stable pattern and latest observational trends more heavily than longer-range uncertainty. Any significant downward revision would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or major model shift before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
78°F या उससे अधिक 75%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 4.1%
72-73°F <1%
नया
$57,414 वॉल्यूम
नया
$57,414 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
23%
78°F या उससे अधिक
75%
78°F या उससे अधिक 75%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 4.1%
72-73°F <1%
नया
$57,414 वॉल्यूम
नया
$57,414 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
$30,717 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$7,991 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$1,634 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$2,023 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$1,147 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$981 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$1,596 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$2,144 वॉल्यूम
1%
74-75°F
$1,855 वॉल्यूम
4%
76-77°F
$3,168 वॉल्यूम
23%
78°F या उससे अधिक
$4,349 वॉल्यूम
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service short-range model consensus currently points to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow transporting warmer Gulf air ahead of an advancing warm front. This setup places temperatures several degrees above the May 18 climatological normal of 71°F, supporting the market’s 70.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and a slight severe-weather risk from the Storm Prediction Center that could further enhance afternoon heating. With resolution less than 24 hours away, traders are weighting the stable pattern and latest observational trends more heavily than longer-range uncertainty. Any significant downward revision would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or major model shift before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,414समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service short-range model consensus currently points to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow transporting warmer Gulf air ahead of an advancing warm front. This setup places temperatures several degrees above the May 18 climatological normal of 71°F, supporting the market’s 70.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and a slight severe-weather risk from the Storm Prediction Center that could further enhance afternoon heating. With resolution less than 24 hours away, traders are weighting the stable pattern and latest observational trends more heavily than longer-range uncertainty. Any significant downward revision would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or major model shift before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$57,414समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNational Weather Service short-range model consensus currently points to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow transporting warmer Gulf air ahead of an advancing warm front. This setup places temperatures several degrees above the May 18 climatological normal of 71°F, supporting the market’s 70.5% implied probability for 78°F or higher. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread and a slight severe-weather risk from the Storm Prediction Center that could further enhance afternoon heating. With resolution less than 24 hours away, traders are weighting the stable pattern and latest observational trends more heavily than longer-range uncertainty. Any significant downward revision would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or major model shift before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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