Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 86°F or higher at 89.5% implied probability for Houston's May 15 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting upper 80s to low 90s under persistent subtropical ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and ample solar insolation for rapid daytime heating. Light south winds around 5-10 mph will advect warm Gulf moisture, with dewpoints near 70°F supporting highs well above the 87°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels limiting convection risks, while the past 24 hours' ozone action day alert underscores sunny, stable conditions akin to today's forecast high near 90°F. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF remain consistent across recent runs, though isolated afternoon clouds could trim peaks by 1-2°F; watch hourly observations from NWS Houston for final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 90%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 2.0%
80-81°F <1%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
90%
86°F or higher 90%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 2.0%
80-81°F <1%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
67°F or below
$1,186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$1,303 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$1,298 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$1,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$1,216 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$234 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$318 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$210 वॉल्यूम
1%
82-83°F
$263 वॉल्यूम
2%
84-85°F
$1,261 वॉल्यूम
9%
86°F or higher
$456 वॉल्यूम
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 86°F or higher at 89.5% implied probability for Houston's May 15 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting upper 80s to low 90s under persistent subtropical ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and ample solar insolation for rapid daytime heating. Light south winds around 5-10 mph will advect warm Gulf moisture, with dewpoints near 70°F supporting highs well above the 87°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels limiting convection risks, while the past 24 hours' ozone action day alert underscores sunny, stable conditions akin to today's forecast high near 90°F. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF remain consistent across recent runs, though isolated afternoon clouds could trim peaks by 1-2°F; watch hourly observations from NWS Houston for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,805समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 86°F or higher at 89.5% implied probability for Houston's May 15 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting upper 80s to low 90s under persistent subtropical ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and ample solar insolation for rapid daytime heating. Light south winds around 5-10 mph will advect warm Gulf moisture, with dewpoints near 70°F supporting highs well above the 87°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels limiting convection risks, while the past 24 hours' ozone action day alert underscores sunny, stable conditions akin to today's forecast high near 90°F. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF remain consistent across recent runs, though isolated afternoon clouds could trim peaks by 1-2°F; watch hourly observations from NWS Houston for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$8,805समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 86°F or higher at 89.5% implied probability for Houston's May 15 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting upper 80s to low 90s under persistent subtropical ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and ample solar insolation for rapid daytime heating. Light south winds around 5-10 mph will advect warm Gulf moisture, with dewpoints near 70°F supporting highs well above the 87°F climatological normal at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels limiting convection risks, while the past 24 hours' ozone action day alert underscores sunny, stable conditions akin to today's forecast high near 90°F. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF remain consistent across recent runs, though isolated afternoon clouds could trim peaks by 1-2°F; watch hourly observations from NWS Houston for final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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