Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatological averages for the region, though recent model runs show modest spread that could allow a brief push to 16 °C under clearer intervals. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 15 °C because official guidance emphasizes persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress warming, while lower probabilities for 17 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger southerly flow developing before the day ends. Fresh model updates tonight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 42%
16°C 27%
14°C 15%
17°C 7.8%
नया
$40,962 वॉल्यूम
नया
$40,962 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
15%
15°C
42%
16°C
27%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 42%
16°C 27%
14°C 15%
17°C 7.8%
नया
$40,962 वॉल्यूम
नया
$40,962 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$6,300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$1,833 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$1,553 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$2,957 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$4,546 वॉल्यूम
4%
14°C
$3,338 वॉल्यूम
15%
15°C
$3,828 वॉल्यूम
42%
16°C
$5,051 वॉल्यूम
27%
17°C
$4,099 वॉल्यूम
8%
18°C or higher
$5,689 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatological averages for the region, though recent model runs show modest spread that could allow a brief push to 16 °C under clearer intervals. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 15 °C because official guidance emphasizes persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress warming, while lower probabilities for 17 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger southerly flow developing before the day ends. Fresh model updates tonight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,962समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatological averages for the region, though recent model runs show modest spread that could allow a brief push to 16 °C under clearer intervals. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 15 °C because official guidance emphasizes persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress warming, while lower probabilities for 17 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger southerly flow developing before the day ends. Fresh model updates tonight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$40,962समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating. This pattern aligns with mid-May climatological averages for the region, though recent model runs show modest spread that could allow a brief push to 16 °C under clearer intervals. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 15 °C because official guidance emphasizes persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress warming, while lower probabilities for 17 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger southerly flow developing before the day ends. Fresh model updates tonight will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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