National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 84–85°F in Miami today, with partly cloudy skies and a moderating sea breeze limiting further warming in the subtropical environment. This positions the 84–85°F bracket as the leading outcome at 52.5% market-implied probability, followed by 86–87°F at 27.0%, reflecting consensus that typical May conditions—average highs around 85°F—will prevail without significant heat advection. Recent model runs show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming warm fronts or reduced cloud cover that could push temperatures into the upper 80s, while historical analogs confirm May extremes rarely exceed 88°F absent unusual synoptic setups. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations at Miami International Airport for resolution.