National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Miami today, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets. These conditions reflect typical mid-May climatology, when average highs reach 85 °F amid moderating trade winds and sea-breeze influences that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized sea-breeze timing that could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing in a narrow range centered on historical norms rather than any unusual warming or cooling signal.