Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 वॉल्यूम
$80,565 वॉल्यूम
79°F या उससे कम
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 वॉल्यूम
$80,565 वॉल्यूम
79°F या उससे कम
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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