Recent National Weather Service and Global Forecast System model runs indicate a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating without strong instability. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F, 82–83°F, and 80–81°F bins. Subtle variations in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover create the main scientific uncertainty among these outcomes, as small changes in these factors can shift the peak temperature by a degree or two. Historical May climatology near 70°F provides baseline context, but traders are focused on the latest short-range guidance ahead of final observations at Central Park.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 13%
$23,143 वॉल्यूम
$23,143 वॉल्यूम
69°F या उससे कम
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
13%
88°F या उससे अधिक
5%
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 13%
$23,143 वॉल्यूम
$23,143 वॉल्यूम
69°F या उससे कम
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
13%
88°F या उससे अधिक
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service and Global Forecast System model runs indicate a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating without strong instability. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 84–85°F, 82–83°F, and 80–81°F bins. Subtle variations in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover create the main scientific uncertainty among these outcomes, as small changes in these factors can shift the peak temperature by a degree or two. Historical May climatology near 70°F provides baseline context, but traders are focused on the latest short-range guidance ahead of final observations at Central Park.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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