Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 वॉल्यूम
$50,689 वॉल्यूम
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 वॉल्यूम
$50,689 वॉल्यूम
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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