Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a continued warm spell across the Kanto region, with southerly flow and ample sunshine expected to push Tokyo's maximum temperature on May 18 into the upper 20s Celsius. This aligns with mid-May climatology where daily highs typically climb from 22–24°C early in the month toward 25–27°C, though current runs show modest positive anomalies relative to historical baselines. Trader positioning favoring 28°C or higher reflects these projections of peak heating during afternoon hours, tempered by typical variability in cloud cover and wind patterns that could moderate outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine the exact threshold as resolution draws near.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 2.6%
$12,140 वॉल्यूम
$12,140 वॉल्यूम
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
57%
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 2.6%
$12,140 वॉल्यूम
$12,140 वॉल्यूम
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a continued warm spell across the Kanto region, with southerly flow and ample sunshine expected to push Tokyo's maximum temperature on May 18 into the upper 20s Celsius. This aligns with mid-May climatology where daily highs typically climb from 22–24°C early in the month toward 25–27°C, though current runs show modest positive anomalies relative to historical baselines. Trader positioning favoring 28°C or higher reflects these projections of peak heating during afternoon hours, tempered by typical variability in cloud cover and wind patterns that could moderate outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine the exact threshold as resolution draws near.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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