Recent US-brokered talks in Washington produced a 45-day extension of the April 16 ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, shifting the focus to parallel security and political tracks that address full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation, and reconstruction. Israeli officials have stated that withdrawal will follow verifiable steps to neutralize Hezbollah’s military capabilities south of the Litani River, while Lebanese representatives insist on an immediate halt to operations and complete pullback before further commitments. Military delegations are scheduled to meet at the Pentagon on May 29, with political negotiations resuming June 2–3, amid ongoing airstrikes that continue to test the fragile truce. These developments frame trader assessments around whether the extended talks can produce binding security guarantees within the current window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
$1,543,484 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
31 मई
1%
30 जून
7%
$1,543,484 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
$1,237,306 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 जून
$231,171 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Recent US-brokered talks in Washington produced a 45-day extension of the April 16 ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, shifting the focus to parallel security and political tracks that address full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation, and reconstruction. Israeli officials have stated that withdrawal will follow verifiable steps to neutralize Hezbollah’s military capabilities south of the Litani River, while Lebanese representatives insist on an immediate halt to operations and complete pullback before further commitments. Military delegations are scheduled to meet at the Pentagon on May 29, with political negotiations resuming June 2–3, amid ongoing airstrikes that continue to test the fragile truce. These developments frame trader assessments around whether the extended talks can produce binding security guarantees within the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,543,484समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Recent US-brokered talks in Washington produced a 45-day extension of the April 16 ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, shifting the focus to parallel security and political tracks that address full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation, and reconstruction. Israeli officials have stated that withdrawal will follow verifiable steps to neutralize Hezbollah’s military capabilities south of the Litani River, while Lebanese representatives insist on an immediate halt to operations and complete pullback before further commitments. Military delegations are scheduled to meet at the Pentagon on May 29, with political negotiations resuming June 2–3, amid ongoing airstrikes that continue to test the fragile truce. These developments frame trader assessments around whether the extended talks can produce binding security guarantees within the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,543,484समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-brokered talks in Washington produced a 45-day extension of the April 16 ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, shifting the focus to parallel security and political tracks that address full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation, and reconstruction. Israeli officials have stated that withdrawal will follow verifiable steps to neutralize Hezbollah’s military capabilities south of the Litani River, while Lebanese representatives insist on an immediate halt to operations and complete pullback before further commitments. Military delegations are scheduled to meet at the Pentagon on May 29, with political negotiations resuming June 2–3, amid ongoing airstrikes that continue to test the fragile truce. These developments frame trader assessments around whether the extended talks can produce binding security guarantees within the current window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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