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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

मई 15

मई 16

मई 17

मई 18

मई 15

मई 16

मई 17

मई 18

25°C 59.3%

23°C <1%

28°C or higher <1%

18°C या उससे नीचे <1%

Polymarket

$63,971 वॉल्यूम

25°C 59.3%

23°C <1%

28°C or higher <1%

18°C या उससे नीचे <1%

Polymarket

$63,971 वॉल्यूम

18°C या उससे नीचे

$2,541 वॉल्यूम

<1%

19°C

$2,325 वॉल्यूम

<1%

20°C

$2,408 वॉल्यूम

<1%

21°C

$2,288 वॉल्यूम

<1%

22°C

$3,899 वॉल्यूम

<1%

23°C

$5,193 वॉल्यूम

1%

24°C

$12,287 वॉल्यूम

<1%

25°C

$8,673 वॉल्यूम

59%

26°C

$12,015 वॉल्यूम

<1%

27°C

$8,229 वॉल्यूम

<1%

28°C or higher

$4,112 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus near certainty for that precise outcome. This aligns with the region’s subtropical climatology, where May average overnight lows typically range 23–26°C amid warming South China Sea sea-surface temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast models had projected minimal deviation from this baseline, with no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies to depress readings further. Resolution hinges on the observatory’s verified station data, so only an unlikely post-publication revision or measurement error could shift the result.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$63,971
समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus near certainty for that precise outcome. This aligns with the region’s subtropical climatology, where May average overnight lows typically range 23–26°C amid warming South China Sea sea-surface temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast models had projected minimal deviation from this baseline, with no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies to depress readings further. Resolution hinges on the observatory’s verified station data, so only an unlikely post-publication revision or measurement error could shift the result.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$63,971
समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?" Polymarket पर 11 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 25°C 59% (59¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 18°C या उससे नीचे 0% पर है।

आज तक, "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?" ने कुल $64K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 11, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 11 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "25°C" 59% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "18°C या उससे नीचे" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।