Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a narrow range of overnight lows in Paris on May 20, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around 12°C and 13°C. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe is allowing modest radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while light variable winds limit further temperature drops. Model spread remains modest because of uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day Atlantic moisture influx. Traders are closely monitoring the next 18-hour forecast updates, which will refine resolution criteria tied to official Météo-France minimum readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 मई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
9°C 11%
6°C या उससे कम
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
11%
10°C
19%
11°C
13%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C या अधिक
2%
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
9°C 11%
6°C या उससे कम
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
11%
10°C
19%
11°C
13%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C या अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a narrow range of overnight lows in Paris on May 20, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around 12°C and 13°C. A weakening high-pressure ridge over western Europe is allowing modest radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while light variable winds limit further temperature drops. Model spread remains modest because of uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day Atlantic moisture influx. Traders are closely monitoring the next 18-hour forecast updates, which will refine resolution criteria tied to official Météo-France minimum readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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