No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में प्राकृतिक आपदा?
2026 में प्राकृतिक आपदा?
हाँ
$218,685 वॉल्यूम
$218,685 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$218,685 वॉल्यूम
$218,685 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$218,685समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$218,685समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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