**Trader sentiment for Seattle's total June 2026 precipitation centers on the 1–2 inch range because Sea-Tac Airport has already recorded 1.24 inches through mid-month—well above the normal ~0.76 inches for that period—while official outlooks favor drier conditions ahead.** Seattle’s long-term June average is roughly 1.45–1.6 inches, with most years falling between 1.0 and 1.7 inches. The early-month surplus has positioned the market’s top outcomes at 1–1.5 inches (51.5% implied probability) and 1.5–2 inches (38.5%), as remaining days would need only modest additional rainfall to reach those totals. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and the Washington State Climate Office both highlight above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation chances for the remainder of June and the broader summer, consistent with the typical seasonal decline in Pacific Northwest rainfall under building high pressure. Long-range guidance (e.g., Farmers’ Almanac) projects a near- or slightly above-average finish near 2 inches, but the stronger consensus on drier weather after mid-month keeps probabilities concentrated below 2 inches and sharply lower for extremes above 2.5 inches or below 1 inch. New National Weather Service forecasts and model runs through late June remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1-1.5" 50%
1.5-2" 36%
2-2.5" 16.0%
>3" 5.0%
1-1.5"
40%
1.5-2"
35%
2-2.5"
28%
>3"
24%
2.5-3"
24%
0.5-1"
<1%
<0.5"
<1%
1-1.5" 50%
1.5-2" 36%
2-2.5" 16.0%
>3" 5.0%
1-1.5"
40%
1.5-2"
35%
2-2.5"
28%
>3"
24%
2.5-3"
24%
0.5-1"
<1%
<0.5"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seattle's total June 2026 precipitation centers on the 1–2 inch range because Sea-Tac Airport has already recorded 1.24 inches through mid-month—well above the normal ~0.76 inches for that period—while official outlooks favor drier conditions ahead.** Seattle’s long-term June average is roughly 1.45–1.6 inches, with most years falling between 1.0 and 1.7 inches. The early-month surplus has positioned the market’s top outcomes at 1–1.5 inches (51.5% implied probability) and 1.5–2 inches (38.5%), as remaining days would need only modest additional rainfall to reach those totals. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and the Washington State Climate Office both highlight above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation chances for the remainder of June and the broader summer, consistent with the typical seasonal decline in Pacific Northwest rainfall under building high pressure. Long-range guidance (e.g., Farmers’ Almanac) projects a near- or slightly above-average finish near 2 inches, but the stronger consensus on drier weather after mid-month keeps probabilities concentrated below 2 inches and sharply lower for extremes above 2.5 inches or below 1 inch. New National Weather Service forecasts and model runs through late June remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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