US Treasury revocation of the June 2026 general license authorizing Iranian oil sales—prompted by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—has left markets pricing modest odds on near-term reissuance of sanctions relief. The 60-day waiver, which permitted dollar-denominated transactions and was set to expire August 21, was wound down by July 17 amid heightened regional tensions, tightening global supply expectations and supporting Brent crude near recent highs. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty in US-Iran diplomatic channels, with any new relief likely contingent on verifiable de-escalation steps, IAEA access, or broader Hormuz stability agreements that could ease upward pressure on energy prices and Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include potential FOMC signals on inflation pass-through from oil volatility and any fresh OFAC actions tied to fiscal 2027 budget discussions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$217,509 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
August 31
14%
$217,509 वॉल्यूम
August 31
$128,628 वॉल्यूम
14%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US Treasury revocation of the June 2026 general license authorizing Iranian oil sales—prompted by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—has left markets pricing modest odds on near-term reissuance of sanctions relief. The 60-day waiver, which permitted dollar-denominated transactions and was set to expire August 21, was wound down by July 17 amid heightened regional tensions, tightening global supply expectations and supporting Brent crude near recent highs. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty in US-Iran diplomatic channels, with any new relief likely contingent on verifiable de-escalation steps, IAEA access, or broader Hormuz stability agreements that could ease upward pressure on energy prices and Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include potential FOMC signals on inflation pass-through from oil volatility and any fresh OFAC actions tied to fiscal 2027 budget discussions.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$217,509समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US Treasury revocation of the June 2026 general license authorizing Iranian oil sales—prompted by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—has left markets pricing modest odds on near-term reissuance of sanctions relief. The 60-day waiver, which permitted dollar-denominated transactions and was set to expire August 21, was wound down by July 17 amid heightened regional tensions, tightening global supply expectations and supporting Brent crude near recent highs. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty in US-Iran diplomatic channels, with any new relief likely contingent on verifiable de-escalation steps, IAEA access, or broader Hormuz stability agreements that could ease upward pressure on energy prices and Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include potential FOMC signals on inflation pass-through from oil volatility and any fresh OFAC actions tied to fiscal 2027 budget discussions.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
वॉल्यूम
$217,509समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US Treasury revocation of the June 2026 general license authorizing Iranian oil sales—prompted by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz—has left markets pricing modest odds on near-term reissuance of sanctions relief. The 60-day waiver, which permitted dollar-denominated transactions and was set to expire August 21, was wound down by July 17 amid heightened regional tensions, tightening global supply expectations and supporting Brent crude near recent highs. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty in US-Iran diplomatic channels, with any new relief likely contingent on verifiable de-escalation steps, IAEA access, or broader Hormuz stability agreements that could ease upward pressure on energy prices and Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include potential FOMC signals on inflation pass-through from oil volatility and any fresh OFAC actions tied to fiscal 2027 budget discussions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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