Escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil trade, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent August 2026 attacks on UAE tankers and reinstated US naval blockades sharply reducing daily transits below the typical 50-100 vessels. Heightened war risk premiums and elevated tanker charter rates reflect persistent uncertainty, while subdued Brent and WTI crude benchmarks price in expectations of limited near-term resolution ahead of the August 31 deadline. Diplomatic talks between Iran and Oman, alongside US calls for allied naval support, introduce volatility, though low shipping volumes and ongoing enforcement actions suggest few additional countries may deploy warships imminently.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त तक कौन से देश होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य के माध्यम से युद्धपोत भेजेंगे?
31 अगस्त तक कौन से देश होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य के माध्यम से युद्धपोत भेजेंगे?
$233,357 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
अमेरिका
5%
फ्रांस
2%
यूके
1%
नीदरलैंड
1%
इटली
1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
1%
ग्रीस
1%
जर्मनी
1%
$233,357 वॉल्यूम
अमेरिका
$27,521 वॉल्यूम
5%
फ्रांस
$55,368 वॉल्यूम
2%
यूके
$17,925 वॉल्यूम
1%
नीदरलैंड
$44,070 वॉल्यूम
1%
इटली
$4,298 वॉल्यूम
1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
$1,263 वॉल्यूम
1%
ग्रीस
$2,460 वॉल्यूम
1%
जर्मनी
$80,452 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil trade, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent August 2026 attacks on UAE tankers and reinstated US naval blockades sharply reducing daily transits below the typical 50-100 vessels. Heightened war risk premiums and elevated tanker charter rates reflect persistent uncertainty, while subdued Brent and WTI crude benchmarks price in expectations of limited near-term resolution ahead of the August 31 deadline. Diplomatic talks between Iran and Oman, alongside US calls for allied naval support, introduce volatility, though low shipping volumes and ongoing enforcement actions suggest few additional countries may deploy warships imminently.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$233,357समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil trade, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent August 2026 attacks on UAE tankers and reinstated US naval blockades sharply reducing daily transits below the typical 50-100 vessels. Heightened war risk premiums and elevated tanker charter rates reflect persistent uncertainty, while subdued Brent and WTI crude benchmarks price in expectations of limited near-term resolution ahead of the August 31 deadline. Diplomatic talks between Iran and Oman, alongside US calls for allied naval support, introduce volatility, though low shipping volumes and ongoing enforcement actions suggest few additional countries may deploy warships imminently.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations must be made within this markets above specified timeframe and include official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$233,357समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating US-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20% of global oil trade, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent August 2026 attacks on UAE tankers and reinstated US naval blockades sharply reducing daily transits below the typical 50-100 vessels. Heightened war risk premiums and elevated tanker charter rates reflect persistent uncertainty, while subdued Brent and WTI crude benchmarks price in expectations of limited near-term resolution ahead of the August 31 deadline. Diplomatic talks between Iran and Oman, alongside US calls for allied naval support, introduce volatility, though low shipping volumes and ongoing enforcement actions suggest few additional countries may deploy warships imminently.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न