Ongoing hostilities from the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran that began February 28, 2026, and extended through early May, including airstrikes on Iranian military sites and leadership targets, have eliminated any near-term path to diplomatic normalization. Israel has actively urged allies to sever ties with Tehran and close their embassies there, while regional ceasefires remain fragile amid continued Hezbollah drone attacks and extended Lebanon truce talks. With no bilateral engagement or normalization signals since the 1979 rupture and persistent cross-border tensions into mid-May 2026, trader consensus prices negligible probability of Israel reopening its embassy by year-end absent a fundamental shift in regime posture or conflict resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या इज़राइल 2026 में ईरान में अपना दूतावास फिर से खोलेगा?
क्या इज़राइल 2026 में ईरान में अपना दूतावास फिर से खोलेगा?
हाँ
$51,779 वॉल्यूम
$51,779 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$51,779 वॉल्यूम
$51,779 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities from the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran that began February 28, 2026, and extended through early May, including airstrikes on Iranian military sites and leadership targets, have eliminated any near-term path to diplomatic normalization. Israel has actively urged allies to sever ties with Tehran and close their embassies there, while regional ceasefires remain fragile amid continued Hezbollah drone attacks and extended Lebanon truce talks. With no bilateral engagement or normalization signals since the 1979 rupture and persistent cross-border tensions into mid-May 2026, trader consensus prices negligible probability of Israel reopening its embassy by year-end absent a fundamental shift in regime posture or conflict resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51,779समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities from the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran that began February 28, 2026, and extended through early May, including airstrikes on Iranian military sites and leadership targets, have eliminated any near-term path to diplomatic normalization. Israel has actively urged allies to sever ties with Tehran and close their embassies there, while regional ceasefires remain fragile amid continued Hezbollah drone attacks and extended Lebanon truce talks. With no bilateral engagement or normalization signals since the 1979 rupture and persistent cross-border tensions into mid-May 2026, trader consensus prices negligible probability of Israel reopening its embassy by year-end absent a fundamental shift in regime posture or conflict resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$51,779समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities from the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran that began February 28, 2026, and extended through early May, including airstrikes on Iranian military sites and leadership targets, have eliminated any near-term path to diplomatic normalization. Israel has actively urged allies to sever ties with Tehran and close their embassies there, while regional ceasefires remain fragile amid continued Hezbollah drone attacks and extended Lebanon truce talks. With no bilateral engagement or normalization signals since the 1979 rupture and persistent cross-border tensions into mid-May 2026, trader consensus prices negligible probability of Israel reopening its embassy by year-end absent a fundamental shift in regime posture or conflict resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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