China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts, has shaped trader positioning for the August release by highlighting ongoing weakness in domestic demand and further declines in food prices. Persistent moderation in non-food components and softer producer price momentum have kept the 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% brackets nearly even, reflecting uncertainty around monthly base effects, potential lagged effects from fiscal measures, and commodity price swings ahead of the early-September data. Stronger retail sales or upward revisions in core measures could lift odds toward the higher bracket, while continued demand softness or additional policy signals would reinforce the lower range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.7% - 0.8% 42%
0.5% - 0.6% 41%
0.3% - 0.4% 17.7%
0.9%+ 5.1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
5%
0.3% - 0.4%
16%
0.5% - 0.6%
41%
0.7% - 0.8%
42%
0.9%+
5%
0.7% - 0.8% 42%
0.5% - 0.6% 41%
0.3% - 0.4% 17.7%
0.9%+ 5.1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$141 Vol.
5%
0.3% - 0.4%
$245 Vol.
16%
0.5% - 0.6%
$1,630 Vol.
41%
0.7% - 0.8%
$1,604 Vol.
42%
0.9%+
$143 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts, has shaped trader positioning for the August release by highlighting ongoing weakness in domestic demand and further declines in food prices. Persistent moderation in non-food components and softer producer price momentum have kept the 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% brackets nearly even, reflecting uncertainty around monthly base effects, potential lagged effects from fiscal measures, and commodity price swings ahead of the early-September data. Stronger retail sales or upward revisions in core measures could lift odds toward the higher bracket, while continued demand softness or additional policy signals would reinforce the lower range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$3,762Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts, has shaped trader positioning for the August release by highlighting ongoing weakness in domestic demand and further declines in food prices. Persistent moderation in non-food components and softer producer price momentum have kept the 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% brackets nearly even, reflecting uncertainty around monthly base effects, potential lagged effects from fiscal measures, and commodity price swings ahead of the early-September data. Stronger retail sales or upward revisions in core measures could lift odds toward the higher bracket, while continued demand softness or additional policy signals would reinforce the lower range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$3,762Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts, has shaped trader positioning for the August release by highlighting ongoing weakness in domestic demand and further declines in food prices. Persistent moderation in non-food components and softer producer price momentum have kept the 0.5–0.6% and 0.7–0.8% brackets nearly even, reflecting uncertainty around monthly base effects, potential lagged effects from fiscal measures, and commodity price swings ahead of the early-September data. Stronger retail sales or upward revisions in core measures could lift odds toward the higher bracket, while continued demand softness or additional policy signals would reinforce the lower range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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