Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 9.7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
33%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
14%
3.6%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 33%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 9.7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$187 Vol.
2%
3.0%
$204 Vol.
5%
3.1%
$224 Vol.
4%
3.2%
$174 Vol.
10%
3.3%
$3,081 Vol.
33%
3.4%
$3,641 Vol.
42%
3.5%
$461 Vol.
14%
3.6%
$175 Vol.
5%
3.7%
$274 Vol.
3%
3.8%
$295 Vol.
3%
3.9%
$323 Vol.
1%
≥4.0%
$208 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$9,244Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,244Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June with a modest 0.1% monthly gain, has anchored market-implied odds for the August annual print, where Cleveland Fed nowcasts project 3.36%. The close contest between 3.3% (34%) and 3.4% (42%) reflects ongoing moderation in energy components amid elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, offset by sticky shelter and core services inflation. Lingering tariff pass-through and resilient goods demand add upward pressure, while softening labor market signals introduce downside risks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in these competing forces ahead of the mid-September release and subsequent FOMC deliberations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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