Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month gain and annual rate easing to 3.4% have anchored trader expectations for the August print near 0.3-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 0.35% for August, reflecting continued moderation in energy components alongside stable shelter contributions. The tight contest between 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes highlights sensitivity to month-to-month volatility in gasoline, food, and core services, with markets pricing in probabilities consistent with the post-shock trajectory from earlier 2026 energy and tariff pressures. Key upcoming releases, including additional labor market and producer price data ahead of the September FOMC, will likely refine these assessments as traders weigh the balance between cooling headline trends and persistent above-target underlying inflation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.4% 42%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
42%
≥0.5%
11%
0.4% 42%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$161 Vol.
1%
-0.2%
$179 Vol.
5%
-0.1%
$253 Vol.
1%
0.0%
$320 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$281 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$236 Vol.
9%
0.3%
$1,856 Vol.
33%
0.4%
$1,599 Vol.
42%
≥0.5%
$467 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month gain and annual rate easing to 3.4% have anchored trader expectations for the August print near 0.3-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 0.35% for August, reflecting continued moderation in energy components alongside stable shelter contributions. The tight contest between 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes highlights sensitivity to month-to-month volatility in gasoline, food, and core services, with markets pricing in probabilities consistent with the post-shock trajectory from earlier 2026 energy and tariff pressures. Key upcoming releases, including additional labor market and producer price data ahead of the September FOMC, will likely refine these assessments as traders weigh the balance between cooling headline trends and persistent above-target underlying inflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$5,351Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month gain and annual rate easing to 3.4% have anchored trader expectations for the August print near 0.3-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 0.35% for August, reflecting continued moderation in energy components alongside stable shelter contributions. The tight contest between 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes highlights sensitivity to month-to-month volatility in gasoline, food, and core services, with markets pricing in probabilities consistent with the post-shock trajectory from earlier 2026 energy and tariff pressures. Key upcoming releases, including additional labor market and producer price data ahead of the September FOMC, will likely refine these assessments as traders weigh the balance between cooling headline trends and persistent above-target underlying inflation.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,351Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month gain and annual rate easing to 3.4% have anchored trader expectations for the August print near 0.3-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently project 0.35% for August, reflecting continued moderation in energy components alongside stable shelter contributions. The tight contest between 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes highlights sensitivity to month-to-month volatility in gasoline, food, and core services, with markets pricing in probabilities consistent with the post-shock trajectory from earlier 2026 energy and tariff pressures. Key upcoming releases, including additional labor market and producer price data ahead of the September FOMC, will likely refine these assessments as traders weigh the balance between cooling headline trends and persistent above-target underlying inflation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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