Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors EagleRock Land's IPO closing market cap in the $2.5B–$3.0B range at 79.5% implied probability, driven by the company's strong NYSE debut on May 14 after pricing 17.3 million Class A shares at $18.50—the midpoint of its $17–$20 range—yielding an initial $2.4B valuation and raising $320 million. Shares opened at $23, surging 24% intraday to highs near $23.84 amid robust demand for its 236,000 acres of Permian Basin land tied to oil royalties, water rights, and infrastructure, fueled by sustained energy sector tailwinds. A modest 17.6% odds on $2.0B–$2.5B reflects potential volatility pullback typical in new listings, while lower buckets signal barriers to extremes; watch underwriter greenshoe exercise and session close for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.5B–$3.0B 69%
$3.0B–$3.5B 12.1%
$2.0B–$2.5B 6.2%
No IPO before July 2026 <1%
$22,167 Vol.
$22,167 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$2.0B
<1%
$2.0B–$2.5B
20%
$2.5B–$3.0B
79%
$3.0B–$3.5B
18%
$3.5B+
<1%
No IPO before July 2026
1%
$2.5B–$3.0B 69%
$3.0B–$3.5B 12.1%
$2.0B–$2.5B 6.2%
No IPO before July 2026 <1%
$22,167 Vol.
$22,167 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$2.0B
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$8,763 Vol.
20%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$4,253 Vol.
79%
$3.0B–$3.5B
$4,089 Vol.
18%
$3.5B+
$2,163 Vol.
<1%
No IPO before July 2026
$972 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors EagleRock Land's IPO closing market cap in the $2.5B–$3.0B range at 79.5% implied probability, driven by the company's strong NYSE debut on May 14 after pricing 17.3 million Class A shares at $18.50—the midpoint of its $17–$20 range—yielding an initial $2.4B valuation and raising $320 million. Shares opened at $23, surging 24% intraday to highs near $23.84 amid robust demand for its 236,000 acres of Permian Basin land tied to oil royalties, water rights, and infrastructure, fueled by sustained energy sector tailwinds. A modest 17.6% odds on $2.0B–$2.5B reflects potential volatility pullback typical in new listings, while lower buckets signal barriers to extremes; watch underwriter greenshoe exercise and session close for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$22,167Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors EagleRock Land's IPO closing market cap in the $2.5B–$3.0B range at 79.5% implied probability, driven by the company's strong NYSE debut on May 14 after pricing 17.3 million Class A shares at $18.50—the midpoint of its $17–$20 range—yielding an initial $2.4B valuation and raising $320 million. Shares opened at $23, surging 24% intraday to highs near $23.84 amid robust demand for its 236,000 acres of Permian Basin land tied to oil royalties, water rights, and infrastructure, fueled by sustained energy sector tailwinds. A modest 17.6% odds on $2.0B–$2.5B reflects potential volatility pullback typical in new listings, while lower buckets signal barriers to extremes; watch underwriter greenshoe exercise and session close for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on EagleRock Landing's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$22,167Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors EagleRock Land's IPO closing market cap in the $2.5B–$3.0B range at 79.5% implied probability, driven by the company's strong NYSE debut on May 14 after pricing 17.3 million Class A shares at $18.50—the midpoint of its $17–$20 range—yielding an initial $2.4B valuation and raising $320 million. Shares opened at $23, surging 24% intraday to highs near $23.84 amid robust demand for its 236,000 acres of Permian Basin land tied to oil royalties, water rights, and infrastructure, fueled by sustained energy sector tailwinds. A modest 17.6% odds on $2.0B–$2.5B reflects potential volatility pullback typical in new listings, while lower buckets signal barriers to extremes; watch underwriter greenshoe exercise and session close for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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