House passage of a short-term 45-day extension of FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, following an initial 10-day stopgap and a failed 3-year bill vote (235-191), has solidified trader consensus at 97.7% for reauthorization before expiration around mid-June 2026. Bipartisan intelligence committee leaders, including House Permanent Select Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasized national security imperatives amid ongoing global threats, overriding demands from privacy advocates and a faction of House Republicans for a warrant requirement on incidental U.S. person data queries. Historical patterns show Congress invariably extends these warrantless foreign surveillance powers via the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, with FISA Court certifications bridging gaps. Realistic upset scenarios include Freedom Caucus holds linking renewal to spending fights or a late-breaking compliance scandal, though procedural momentum favors clean passage.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,911 Vol.
$40,911 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,911 Vol.
$40,911 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of a short-term 45-day extension of FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, following an initial 10-day stopgap and a failed 3-year bill vote (235-191), has solidified trader consensus at 97.7% for reauthorization before expiration around mid-June 2026. Bipartisan intelligence committee leaders, including House Permanent Select Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasized national security imperatives amid ongoing global threats, overriding demands from privacy advocates and a faction of House Republicans for a warrant requirement on incidental U.S. person data queries. Historical patterns show Congress invariably extends these warrantless foreign surveillance powers via the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, with FISA Court certifications bridging gaps. Realistic upset scenarios include Freedom Caucus holds linking renewal to spending fights or a late-breaking compliance scandal, though procedural momentum favors clean passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$40,911Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of a short-term 45-day extension of FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, following an initial 10-day stopgap and a failed 3-year bill vote (235-191), has solidified trader consensus at 97.7% for reauthorization before expiration around mid-June 2026. Bipartisan intelligence committee leaders, including House Permanent Select Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasized national security imperatives amid ongoing global threats, overriding demands from privacy advocates and a faction of House Republicans for a warrant requirement on incidental U.S. person data queries. Historical patterns show Congress invariably extends these warrantless foreign surveillance powers via the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, with FISA Court certifications bridging gaps. Realistic upset scenarios include Freedom Caucus holds linking renewal to spending fights or a late-breaking compliance scandal, though procedural momentum favors clean passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,911Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House passage of a short-term 45-day extension of FISA Section 702 authorities on April 30, following an initial 10-day stopgap and a failed 3-year bill vote (235-191), has solidified trader consensus at 97.7% for reauthorization before expiration around mid-June 2026. Bipartisan intelligence committee leaders, including House Permanent Select Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasized national security imperatives amid ongoing global threats, overriding demands from privacy advocates and a faction of House Republicans for a warrant requirement on incidental U.S. person data queries. Historical patterns show Congress invariably extends these warrantless foreign surveillance powers via the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, with FISA Court certifications bridging gaps. Realistic upset scenarios include Freedom Caucus holds linking renewal to spending fights or a late-breaking compliance scandal, though procedural momentum favors clean passage.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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