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Kecerdasan prediksi & peluang

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What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

100%

Ship / Chip

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$104K Liq.

168

Ends in about 12 hours

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$408K Vol.

$199K today

$404K Liq.

32

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

90%

Daddy

$70.9K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

14

Ends in about 12 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

33

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$21.7K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

$68.6K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$99.4K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

10

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

94%

OpenAI

$25.1K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

24%

June 30

$359K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

7

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

51%

$10.0K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

5

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

76%

↑ 14,000

$49.7K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$254K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

32

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

43%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

86%

↑ 46

$868K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $750

$396K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 18 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

50%

↓ 75,000

$14M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 18 days

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Kecerdasan.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 123 market aktif untuk Kecerdasan yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $21.9M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "What price will Bitcoin hit in May?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "What price will Bitcoin hit in May?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 100% untuk ↑ 80,000. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Kecerdasan yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.