Republican control of Congress and repeated failures to advance war powers measures have anchored trader expectations that no resolution limiting U.S. military action against Iran will clear both chambers by May 31. Multiple House and Senate votes since March, including a recent 212-212 tie in the lower chamber, have fallen short along largely partisan lines, with the administration maintaining that an April ceasefire suspends the 60-day War Powers clock that began in late February. Lawmakers have also recessed without scheduling further action. While a sudden escalation, leadership shift, or narrow bipartisan coalition could still force consideration, the short timeline and institutional patterns make passage highly improbable before the deadline.
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May 31, 2026
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May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of Congress and repeated failures to advance war powers measures have anchored trader expectations that no resolution limiting U.S. military action against Iran will clear both chambers by May 31. Multiple House and Senate votes since March, including a recent 212-212 tie in the lower chamber, have fallen short along largely partisan lines, with the administration maintaining that an April ceasefire suspends the 60-day War Powers clock that began in late February. Lawmakers have also recessed without scheduling further action. While a sudden escalation, leadership shift, or narrow bipartisan coalition could still force consideration, the short timeline and institutional patterns make passage highly improbable before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$2,544Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Republican control of Congress and repeated failures to advance war powers measures have anchored trader expectations that no resolution limiting U.S. military action against Iran will clear both chambers by May 31. Multiple House and Senate votes since March, including a recent 212-212 tie in the lower chamber, have fallen short along largely partisan lines, with the administration maintaining that an April ceasefire suspends the 60-day War Powers clock that began in late February. Lawmakers have also recessed without scheduling further action. While a sudden escalation, leadership shift, or narrow bipartisan coalition could still force consideration, the short timeline and institutional patterns make passage highly improbable before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,544Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of Congress and repeated failures to advance war powers measures have anchored trader expectations that no resolution limiting U.S. military action against Iran will clear both chambers by May 31. Multiple House and Senate votes since March, including a recent 212-212 tie in the lower chamber, have fallen short along largely partisan lines, with the administration maintaining that an April ceasefire suspends the 60-day War Powers clock that began in late February. Lawmakers have also recessed without scheduling further action. While a sudden escalation, leadership shift, or narrow bipartisan coalition could still force consideration, the short timeline and institutional patterns make passage highly improbable before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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