Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$27,623Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations by Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales over sexual misconduct allegations, followed by Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepping down amid ethics probes and criminal charges, have already removed three of the four members. Trader consensus favoring “No” at 89.5 percent reflects the absence of comparable momentum for Rep. Cory Mills to depart by May 31. Mills continues to face separate allegations of assault and campaign finance issues yet has publicly denied wrongdoing, with no scheduled expulsion vote or party pressure producing an imminent exit. Historical patterns show House members rarely resign or face successful expulsion in such compressed timelines absent overwhelming bipartisan support. No major new developments have altered this outlook in the past two weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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