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Politik·Florida

FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Florida

FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bale Dalton 97.8%

Marialana Kinter 2.5%

Alan Grayson 1.7%

Polymarket
BARU

Bale Dalton 97.8%

Marialana Kinter 2.5%

Alan Grayson 1.7%

Polymarket
BARU

Bale Dalton

$5,355 Vol.

98%

Marialana Kinter

$3,264 Vol.

3%

Alan Grayson

$1,020 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bale Dalton holds a commanding lead in the FL-07 Democratic primary due to substantial fundraising exceeding $1.2 million, endorsements from the DCCC's Red to Blue program and Blue Dog PAC, and his background as a Navy veteran and former NASA chief of staff. These factors have positioned him ahead of rivals including former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects Dalton's organizational advantages and early momentum in a district targeted for a potential flip. Late developments such as turnout shifts among key voting blocs or unexpected endorsements could still influence the final tally, though the short timeline limits major reversals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,639
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bale Dalton holds a commanding lead in the FL-07 Democratic primary due to substantial fundraising exceeding $1.2 million, endorsements from the DCCC's Red to Blue program and Blue Dog PAC, and his background as a Navy veteran and former NASA chief of staff. These factors have positioned him ahead of rivals including former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter ahead of the August 18 primary. Trader consensus reflects Dalton's organizational advantages and early momentum in a district targeted for a potential flip. Late developments such as turnout shifts among key voting blocs or unexpected endorsements could still influence the final tally, though the short timeline limits major reversals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,639
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bale Dalton" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Marialana Kinter" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Bale Dalton" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marialana Kinter" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.