Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional numerical weather prediction runs, indicates a maximum temperature of 19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high-pressure conditions with northwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 18.5°C while remaining below thresholds for further warming. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and limited variability in recent observations, with only narrow scope for a brief spike to 20°C if boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, where small observational differences or late-day changes could theoretically shift outcomes but appear improbable given the current data convergence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
19°C 63%
20°C 29%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$20,211 Vol.
$20,211 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
63%
20°C
30%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 63%
20°C 29%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$20,211 Vol.
$20,211 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
63%
20°C
30%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including Met Office guidance and regional numerical weather prediction runs, indicates a maximum temperature of 19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high-pressure conditions with northwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 18.5°C while remaining below thresholds for further warming. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and limited variability in recent observations, with only narrow scope for a brief spike to 20°C if boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, where small observational differences or late-day changes could theoretically shift outcomes but appear improbable given the current data convergence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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