Trader consensus places 35°C and 34°C in a near-dead heat at 43% and 41% implied probability for Ankara’s August 23 high, driven by ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS. Late-summer conditions feature weak synoptic forcing, with daytime heating modulated by subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, low-level wind speed, and possible afternoon cloud cover that can trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and orographic influences from surrounding Anatolian terrain add further microscale variability. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
35°C 42%
34°C 41%
33°C 10%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
41%
35°C
42%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 41%
33°C 10%
36°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
30°C or below
$78 Vol.
1%
31°C
$44 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
3%
33°C
$36 Vol.
10%
34°C
$290 Vol.
41%
35°C
$95 Vol.
42%
36°C
$83 Vol.
8%
37°C
$48 Vol.
3%
38°C
$20 Vol.
1%
39°C
$150 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$494 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places 35°C and 34°C in a near-dead heat at 43% and 41% implied probability for Ankara’s August 23 high, driven by ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS. Late-summer conditions feature weak synoptic forcing, with daytime heating modulated by subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, low-level wind speed, and possible afternoon cloud cover that can trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and orographic influences from surrounding Anatolian terrain add further microscale variability. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,357Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places 35°C and 34°C in a near-dead heat at 43% and 41% implied probability for Ankara’s August 23 high, driven by ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS. Late-summer conditions feature weak synoptic forcing, with daytime heating modulated by subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, low-level wind speed, and possible afternoon cloud cover that can trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and orographic influences from surrounding Anatolian terrain add further microscale variability. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,357Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places 35°C and 34°C in a near-dead heat at 43% and 41% implied probability for Ankara’s August 23 high, driven by ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS. Late-summer conditions feature weak synoptic forcing, with daytime heating modulated by subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, low-level wind speed, and possible afternoon cloud cover that can trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and orographic influences from surrounding Anatolian terrain add further microscale variability. New model cycles and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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