The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 19?
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
3%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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