Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$61,679 Vol.
$61,679 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$61,679 Vol.
$61,679 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,962 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,948 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,164 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,226 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,651 Vol.
99%
32°C
$6,908 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$6,672 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$61,679Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,679Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, supported by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical mid-May atmospheric stability across the Sichuan Basin. This consensus aligns with recent model runs showing limited variability and places the expected high just above the city’s long-term May average. With market-implied odds exceeding 97 percent for exactly 31°C, traders are pricing in strong agreement across official guidance and ensemble predictions. The outcome could shift only if an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a brief northerly surge arrives before peak heating, though both scenarios remain low-probability based on the latest observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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