Recent National Weather Service model consensus favors a Dallas high temperature in the low 80s on May 19, driven by southerly advection of warm, moist air ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads show modest differences in cloud cover timing and shower development that could nudge the peak reading between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F ranges, with any earlier or heavier convection capping the maximum. Historical May climatology for the area places average highs near 85°F, providing context for why traders see limited odds above 86°F absent stronger ridging. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 19?
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 16%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 16%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service model consensus favors a Dallas high temperature in the low 80s on May 19, driven by southerly advection of warm, moist air ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads show modest differences in cloud cover timing and shower development that could nudge the peak reading between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F ranges, with any earlier or heavier convection capping the maximum. Historical May climatology for the area places average highs near 85°F, providing context for why traders see limited odds above 86°F absent stronger ridging. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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