National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from NOAA currently favor afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Dallas on May 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that promotes daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach 85–87°F, though modest differences in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF updates that keep peak temperatures below 90°F while acknowledging the potential for localized warming if winds remain light. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas Love Field, with fresh model cycles expected through the weekend to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
90-91°F 24%
92°F or higher 16%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
24%
92°F or higher
16%
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
90-91°F 24%
92°F or higher 16%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
24%
92°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALNational Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from NOAA currently favor afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Dallas on May 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge and southerly flow that promotes daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach 85–87°F, though modest differences in forecast cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF updates that keep peak temperatures below 90°F while acknowledging the potential for localized warming if winds remain light. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas Love Field, with fresh model cycles expected through the weekend to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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