National Weather Service guidance from the early morning Area Forecast Discussion projects Dallas highs of 90-92°F today, May 15, reflecting strong upper-level ridging over Texas that promotes subsidence warming and advection of moist Gulf air via persistent southerly winds of 10-15 mph under partly sunny skies. Overnight lows near 70°F and current mid-morning readings around 81°F at Dallas Love Field align with this trajectory, well above the mid-80s climatological May normal. Trader consensus at 91.5% for 86°F or higher mirrors this model agreement across HRRR and GFS ensembles. Realistic challenges include unexpected mid-level cloud increases or isolated thunderstorms (20% chance per NWS), potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing further clarity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 4.0%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$14,720 Vol.
$14,720 Vol.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
94%
86°F or higher 94%
84-85°F 4.0%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$14,720 Vol.
$14,720 Vol.
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance from the early morning Area Forecast Discussion projects Dallas highs of 90-92°F today, May 15, reflecting strong upper-level ridging over Texas that promotes subsidence warming and advection of moist Gulf air via persistent southerly winds of 10-15 mph under partly sunny skies. Overnight lows near 70°F and current mid-morning readings around 81°F at Dallas Love Field align with this trajectory, well above the mid-80s climatological May normal. Trader consensus at 91.5% for 86°F or higher mirrors this model agreement across HRRR and GFS ensembles. Realistic challenges include unexpected mid-level cloud increases or isolated thunderstorms (20% chance per NWS), potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly updates through afternoon providing further clarity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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