Recent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System model runs, have anchored trader consensus on the 37°C-or-higher outcome. Jeddah’s mid-May climatology features average daily highs climbing toward 37°C as the Red Sea coastal regime transitions into peak summer heating, with low cloud cover and minimal marine-layer moisture allowing strong daytime insolation. Current National Center for Meteorology guidance shows no significant shift in steering patterns or humidity before sunset. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or a sudden onshore flow increase that caps the maximum near 36°C, though model ensembles assign low probability to such changes on this date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
37°C or higher 99.6%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$49,993 Vol.
$49,993 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
100%
37°C or higher 99.6%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$49,993 Vol.
$49,993 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNRecent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System model runs, have anchored trader consensus on the 37°C-or-higher outcome. Jeddah’s mid-May climatology features average daily highs climbing toward 37°C as the Red Sea coastal regime transitions into peak summer heating, with low cloud cover and minimal marine-layer moisture allowing strong daytime insolation. Current National Center for Meteorology guidance shows no significant shift in steering patterns or humidity before sunset. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or a sudden onshore flow increase that caps the maximum near 36°C, though model ensembles assign low probability to such changes on this date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan