Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving trader consensus toward 15 °C as the modal outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system crossing the UK. This setup brings cooler maritime air and scattered showers, producing a modest negative anomaly relative to mid-May climatology, where seasonal averages reach 16–17 °C at London City Airport. Model agreement on limited diurnal warming under cloudy conditions has kept probabilities for 14 °C and 16 °C close behind, while tails for extremes remain thin. Updated guidance later today will determine final resolution criteria based on official observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 45%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
17°C 6.9%
BARU
$47,756 Vol.
BARU
$47,756 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
23%
15°C
45%
16°C
22%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 45%
14°C 23%
16°C 22%
17°C 6.9%
BARU
$47,756 Vol.
BARU
$47,756 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,698 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$4,268 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5,151 Vol.
4%
14°C
$4,026 Vol.
23%
15°C
$4,501 Vol.
45%
16°C
$5,893 Vol.
22%
17°C
$4,781 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$7,514 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving trader consensus toward 15 °C as the modal outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system crossing the UK. This setup brings cooler maritime air and scattered showers, producing a modest negative anomaly relative to mid-May climatology, where seasonal averages reach 16–17 °C at London City Airport. Model agreement on limited diurnal warming under cloudy conditions has kept probabilities for 14 °C and 16 °C close behind, while tails for extremes remain thin. Updated guidance later today will determine final resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,756Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving trader consensus toward 15 °C as the modal outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system crossing the UK. This setup brings cooler maritime air and scattered showers, producing a modest negative anomaly relative to mid-May climatology, where seasonal averages reach 16–17 °C at London City Airport. Model agreement on limited diurnal warming under cloudy conditions has kept probabilities for 14 °C and 16 °C close behind, while tails for extremes remain thin. Updated guidance later today will determine final resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,756Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving trader consensus toward 15 °C as the modal outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system crossing the UK. This setup brings cooler maritime air and scattered showers, producing a modest negative anomaly relative to mid-May climatology, where seasonal averages reach 16–17 °C at London City Airport. Model agreement on limited diurnal warming under cloudy conditions has kept probabilities for 14 °C and 16 °C close behind, while tails for extremes remain thin. Updated guidance later today will determine final resolution criteria based on official observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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