Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a Moscow high near 16°C on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms. Numerical weather prediction models cluster tightly between 15–17°C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes and reflecting limited upside potential from any brief clearing. This setup deviates from typical mid-August averages around 22°C, driven by regional synoptic patterns favoring overcast conditions and modest precipitation that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity against official monitoring updates, with real-time observations poised to resolve the market as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 55%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
14°C 6%
BARU
$20,578 Vol.
BARU
$20,578 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
27%
16°C
55%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
14°C 6%
BARU
$20,578 Vol.
BARU
$20,578 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,544 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,789 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,841 Vol.
6%
15°C
$2,188 Vol.
27%
16°C
$1,974 Vol.
55%
17°C
$3,030 Vol.
15%
18°C
$4,092 Vol.
2%
19°C
$444 Vol.
1%
20°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a Moscow high near 16°C on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms. Numerical weather prediction models cluster tightly between 15–17°C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes and reflecting limited upside potential from any brief clearing. This setup deviates from typical mid-August averages around 22°C, driven by regional synoptic patterns favoring overcast conditions and modest precipitation that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity against official monitoring updates, with real-time observations poised to resolve the market as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,578Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a Moscow high near 16°C on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms. Numerical weather prediction models cluster tightly between 15–17°C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes and reflecting limited upside potential from any brief clearing. This setup deviates from typical mid-August averages around 22°C, driven by regional synoptic patterns favoring overcast conditions and modest precipitation that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity against official monitoring updates, with real-time observations poised to resolve the market as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,578Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a Moscow high near 16°C on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms. Numerical weather prediction models cluster tightly between 15–17°C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes and reflecting limited upside potential from any brief clearing. This setup deviates from typical mid-August averages around 22°C, driven by regional synoptic patterns favoring overcast conditions and modest precipitation that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity against official monitoring updates, with real-time observations poised to resolve the market as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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